Leaders’ race for the position of Prime Minister

Leaders’ race for the position of Prime Minister

6-27-2022

Leaders race for the position of Prime MinisterThe coordination framework faces two major challenges to complete the electoral process and move towards forming a government. The first challenge is to hold a session to elect and elect the President of the Republic, and the second is to choose a personality to assume the position of Prime Minister.

The coordinating framework found the solution to the first challenge by pushing the ball into the court of the Kurds regarding the crisis of their candidate for the presidency, calling on the Kurdistan Democratic Party and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan to settle their dispute over the presidential candidate. Returning to what happened in 2018, both parties entered the parliament session with candidates, and the majority was decided by the vote of the members of the House of Representatives.

The second challenge is the most complex, which may be another reason for delaying the formation of the government and lies in the difficulty of agreeing on the personality of the next prime minister and how to distribute ministerial portfolios to the political blocs, and the Shiite ones in particular, in the absence of consensus between them after the withdrawal of the current and the framework taking over. However, it is expected that the distribution of portfolios will remain the same, according to which the framework’s share will be 12 out of 22 portfolios. However, their distribution among the framework forces will need difficult negotiations, especially with regard to agreeing on a joint mechanism with the wisdom movement declaring its refusal to participate in the next government, which It will deepen the feud between the competing blocs to get the important ministries.

The frantic race for the position of prime minister started early, as most of the aspiring and aspiring to the position proceeded to form hot operating rooms. They are led by the leaders of the first line, such as the leader of the state of law Nuri al-Maliki, the head of the Al-Fateh Alliance Hadi al-Amiri and the head of the Victory Alliance Haider al-Abadi, while the leaders of the second line see their chances greater than the leaders of the first line and the competition between them is fierce, amid the launch of campaigns to slay and target in various ways.

The leaders of the second line, the current Prime Minister, Mustafa Al-Kazemi, based on the strength of his team, which enabled him to achieve the consensus of the political blocs and their approval to nominate him as prime minister in 2020, to succeed his resigned predecessor, Adel Abdul-Mahdi, where Al-Kazemi summoned his former team, which includes three influential players in the Shiite arena, Relying on additional support from outside the Shiite framework, such as the Kurdistan Democratic Party and some leaders of the Sovereignty Alliance. In addition to supporting the regional neighborhood represented by Turkey, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, and Iran’s non-objection to his return to power. Perhaps his official visit on June 26 was a clear example of their support for him. However, he faces an opposition that can be described as fierce within the coordination framework that cannot be easily skipped or underestimated, and the final decision to choose the person to occupy the position of Prime Minister remains associated with the decision of the leaders of the coordination framework.

It is not easy to predict who will have the most luck by gaining the confidence and approval of the political forces amid their sharp and aggravating differences and intersections, but the biggest challenge for the most fortunate will be the acceptance, satisfaction and conviction of many parties, including the political forces, in addition to acceptance by neighboring countries and the international community, in addition to the acceptance and satisfaction of the reference in Al-Najaf Al-Ashraf, and the Sadrist movement and its strong audience, which will monitor, follow up and evaluate the government’s performance and its determination to reform the existing situation.

It is worth noting that the candidate to lead the next government will face major challenges, including the widening of poverty and unemployment, the decline of services, foremost of which are electricity, the deterioration of infrastructure, the collapse of the non-oil economy of agriculture, industry and trade, climate crises, water scarcity and desertification. In addition to the security and political challenges in the region in general and its division on two axes, the axis of normalization and the axis of resistance and Iraq, which may turn into a major arena of conflict between these two axes.

The withdrawal of the Sadrist movement has certainly complicated the political scene, putting Iraq on the brink of the pit of collapse, and contrary to what some imagine that the future may be rosy, the political leaders in general and the leaders of the coordination framework in particular should not be engrossed in their desires and chase after their whims and self-interests, but rather they should think full of her next steps. And to leave its previous policies that were characterized by failure and brought disappointment and betrayal to its masses before the masses of its opponents, and that maintaining these policies will lose its existence and lead the country towards inevitable collapse.

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