The Washington Post: Maliki will face a challenge to the formation of the government and lists the year of frustrating results
The Washington Post: Maliki will face a challenge to the formation of the government and lists the year of frustrating results
05/21/2014 (00:01 pm)
Translation: term
Announced the Electoral Commission for elections, on Monday, the results of the parliamentary elections, and the back of his coalition, “state law” as the biggest winner of them, so it is close to winning a third term as prime minister. Maliki now faces a challenge to form a ruling coalition with other blocks with the escalation of violence and instability, and this process could take months.
Shiite blocs and came second in the competition won the vote, and Sunni blocs were evacuated with the escalation of polarization in the country on sectarian and ethnic lines. This scene and increases the likelihood of adoption of the next government on the basis of a Shiite narrower than the current rule, what he sees as a bias against the Sunni sect and the Kurds see as hostile to their efforts to gain more autonomy in the north.
Do not expect State of Law coalition headed by al-Maliki to ensure a majority of 165 seats in parliament’s 328 seats, but still on Maliki to communicate with the rest of the parties to form a majority coalition wider for the primacy of the formation of the government. However, the amount of 92 seats, which surpassed its mass increases the chances of adhering to the job, which reached him in 2006, something of a mystery.
This is the third election taking place since the U.S. invasion in 2003, and comes in a dangerous moment for Iraq, with the country sinking again in the circle of brutal fighting that killed more than 8,800 people over the past year alone. Where sectarian violence flared, who had already tore Iraq in 2006 and 2007, because of the deep divisions at home in addition to the ongoing civil war three years ago in Syria.
The Sunnis feel marginalized by Maliki’s government since the suppression of the protest movement that has been calling for reform over the past year. At the same time, controlled by insurgents on the city of Fallujah and other pockets of Anbar province and carefully carry out coordinated attacks in the capital against public gatherings. He says Sunni lawmaker Raad Aldhlki “The election results are unsatisfactory for the year, and were below our expectations. Believe that violence in Anbar province, has played a role in this disappointment election, where many Sunni voters were unable to ballot because of the violence there. Next phase in Iraq will be difficult because a lot of people have lost hope for real change. ”
Compete in this election 9000 candidate from across the country to parliamentary seats. Election officials say that only 62% of eligible voters and the 22 million people participated in the voting, as happened in the recent parliamentary elections in 2010. Electoral Commission explained that the State of Law coalition was ahead in the ten provinces of 18 provinces.
Came the mass “citizen” led by cleric Ammar al-Hakim second with 29 seats, followed by the mass cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, “Liberal” with 28 seats. As the two smaller parties gain from supporters of al-Sadr a total of six additional seats are likely to, joining the Liberals in a broader alliance.
And got a block Parliament Speaker Osama Najafi “united” on 23 seats, and earned the menu “national”, headed by former Prime Minister Iyad Allawi’s 21 seats, while the “Arab coalition” headed by Deputy Prime Minister Saleh al-Mutlaq on 10 seats. That was the disappointment of the year.
In 2010 Allawi’s bloc won more seats than the rule of law, but the al-Maliki remained in power after months of political debate. But the Sunni movement took the division since then. It is expected Aziz Jaber, professor of political science at the University of Mustansiriya escalation of violence if they felt their exclusion from the year before the government of al-Maliki and parties allied with him. He says, “weak results for the year will boost the rebels, who were saying that elections and politics a waste of time, where it will be advocates for a boycott of the election from the start in a better position now and will do their best to take advantage of the decline in the year.”
And provided the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad tips to the Electoral Commission and the security forces and candidates and voters in the electoral process, where she said, “with the direction of the process to form a government, we call upon all political entities that are holding talks in a spirit of cooperation and respect the desire of the voters.”
It is likely to take negotiations to choose a new government for several weeks that were not months. It took the formation of the previous government for nine months. Even then, the House of Representatives failed for years to agree on candidates for the ministries of defense and interior job, al-Maliki has kept for himself the role of acting Interior Minister until this day. Under the constitution, the president may ask the parliament to hold a meeting 15 days after the ratification of the election results. Talabani and suffered from a stroke in late 2012, and pulled out to a large extent from public life but is not expected to delay the process of government formation.
For its part, the Daily Star newspaper said that the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad and the United Nations Mission in Iraq have welcomed the results of the election and Washington has said the election was a “testament to the courage and resilience of the Iraqi people, and another sign of democratic development in Iraq.”
Since the weeks and the political parties in the country hold meetings and maneuvering in an effort to form alliances after the elections, but the formation of the new government is expected to take months. As in previous elections, it is expected to meet the large blocs to agree on the selection of heads of government of the Republic and the Parliament once. Under an agreement facto in recent years, the Prime Minister of the Shiite Arabs and the President of the Republic of the Kurds and the Speaker of the Sunni Arabs.
Complain Voters of electric power weak and services for sanitation and rampant corruption and high unemployment rates and other things, but the long campaign leading up to the vote focused on the pursuit of al-Maliki for a third term as the critics of Maliki accuse him of integrating power, especially in the security forces, and blame it on the deterioration of security on the Since the lack of improvement in the quality of life. The election and beyond amid a wave of violence, raising fears the country is sliding into full-scale conflict that has already claimed the lives of thousands.
Maliki faces strong opposition in the western region of the Sunni majority and the Kurdish north, where there are competitors that insist on not to approve a third term. For his part, al-Maliki cast the blame for the wave of unrest on external factors such as the war in Syria and says that his partners in the government by publicly challenging and blocking his legislative in parliament.
And permeated attacks on election candidates and election campaigns in addition to the allegations of malpractice, where the participation rate contributed to a decline in some Sunni areas.
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