Iraq and the new game of nations: fire raging sectarian war with the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)
Iraq and the new game of nations: fire raging sectarian war with the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)
Posted 27/06/2012 09:44 AM
Babinaoz (Reuters) – since the advent of the author of “Game nations,” the author of Miles Koplan, and any analysis of Western do not deviate from the framework of the methodology of interest in dealing with countries, especially countries in the Middle East, and the problem of abuse of intellectuals with such analyzes issued by the research centers, the American or European, which is centers for the manufacture of ideas to decision makers who deal with their alternatives in the decision best suited to the interests of their countries.
And Iraq is located today in the circle of interest in regional and international levels, in the same context of the game of nations, as part of Tnadz a regional sectarian between Muslims, Shiites, Sunnis, represented by Iran on the one hand, Turkey and Saudi Arabia on the other hand, the center of the interests of international, American, and European, that the region remains just chickens lay eggs profits petrodollars, and remove the danger green “Islam” of fomenting the discord, in spite of the awareness of intellectuals, Arabs and Muslims in Iraq and other state, this fact, but the problem of international research centers, searching for a matter of crises in pushing countries through approaches analytical, show the size of conflict between Iraq, which accuses the government loyal to Iran, according to fill out its verdict, against the hostility to Saudi Arabia, and accused of working to destabilize Iraq’s independence.
In an interview conducted by the Institute of Brookiggins representative Bbagesh Robert Tolast, with the researcher and writer specializing F Gregory Koss, to discuss the future of foreign policy for Iraq, put the equation in “the game of nations”, and ask a question: Can Iraq become a country looking to the outside on the international stage, or whether he will remain an ominous that it plays in the wars on behalf of his neighbors? Will want a lot of us to forget the continuing conflict in Iraq for a long time, however, lies the fact that Iraq retains at the top of the reserves of billions of crude oil, is located on the line of the sectarian divide, which seems likely to simmer at the edge of violence seriously for some time next year. Therefore, how can the Maliki government to move diplomatically with its neighbors, that is of importance when it is trying to understand the policies oversold fanatical sectarian politics in the region.
It starts representative of the Brookings Institution Robert Tolast saying that in February, there was some excitement in the event expect a rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and Iraq, when re-opening of the Saudi embassy in Iraq, and that is the resident ambassador in Amman. That was enough to Deputy Foreign Minister Allawi of Iraq to hand to welcome it, saying: “a new page of bilateral relations of cooperation and exchange of visits.” Given the controversy that surrounds Bahrain and Saudi Arabia worried about Iran’s plans in the region, one can speculate that this convergence is not based on good intentions, but on realpolitik. Iraq is seeking to reopen the oil pipeline capacity to export and a half million barrels of oil per day to the port Saudi Yanbu on the Red Sea, and thus reduce dependence on the Strait of Hormuz. There is also the issue of cancellation of debts of the Saddam Hussein era and the fact that in the month of February, Iraqis Vakedoa hope that attending the Arab parties Baghdad summit, so they tried to quickly heal the rift. Do you think that the Iraqis span out to Saudi Arabia because of their own goals, or do you think that it may reflect something more authentic, in other words, good intentions? If the intentions are good, then it may be the Arar border crossing points, more commercial as they relate to the pilgrimage.
Gregory Koss and answers that he believed that talk about relationships in improved change is sudden, born mainly Iraqi desire to get a good turnout at the top and Saudi Arabia where the technical subject in the framework of the achievements. Of course, it was Saudi presence in the lowest level, which was brilliant and clear signal to the Iraqi government that Riyadh is not in a good mood to be nice. On the Iraqi side, it is believed that the representative Brookiggins extension was more originality. And does not think that Maliki wants to be an agent for Iran. No one of the politicians want to be an agent for one fact, and believed that he wanted to have better relations with Saudi Arabia to give him some options for Iran. But the Saudis Raogoa up to see him do to take some important steps to show its independence from Iran. [/ B] [B] It is believed analysts news in “Oruz” This equation does not serve the interests of both Iraq and Saudi Arabia, because the interests of the Atqas antibody, but in the convergence of interests , and talk that the position of Iraq loyal to Iran in full, you may not strayed from the truth, but the problem of any Iraqi government, whether the Maliki government, or future governments, to play the role of Finland in World War II, or the role of Switzerland, so as not to catch fire this sectarian war either The top Iraq Iranian position, like a royal king over, and the promising methodology of Iran in the measurement of its relations with Arab neighbors, the sin of these governments remain more than a sin of any Iraqi government since the formation of the new Iraq after the First World War, because the introduction of Iraq in the midst of wars sectarianism of New make a lot of opponents to the regime of President Saddam Hussein, to rethink their positions, and dealing with the perpetrators of this sin the new, harshly than they dealt with Saddam’s regime, and any talk about the stability of Iraq in the context of this hypothesis, require a comprehensive review of the methodology for the government of the Constitution Even applications of decision-making according to the anti-terrorism law.
The representative of Brookiggins back to say: to return back to the dark days of 2007 in Iraq, about 40% of the foreign fighters who were infiltrating into Iraq were from Saudi Arabia. The situation is completely different now in Iraq is due to some reasons that emphasizes Al Qaeda in Iraq to uphold their positions and the old style, in western Iraq, which is also rejected in its final year of Iraq. Most of the praise must be given to Saudi Arabia, which followed the agreements Ryan Crocker and Dell Daily to rein in militants and ensure the security of the border. However, despite the progress Saudi Arabia in the fight against militants and their growing in the reform of the militants, the damage in Saudi Arabia in Iraq was very large. Has documented Fenner Smith in his book sectarianism in Iraq, how the Sadrists refer repeatedly to terrorism in Iraq is not being Sylvia or Arhbaa, but being a Wahhabi, which does not apply only to Saudi origin, but it also evokes the historical memory of the expulsion of Karbala in the year 1801. In a similar way, and only several years ago when he described King Abdullah al-Maliki to “Iran’s client.” He urged the commander of the Quds Force of Iran’s new to overthrow the Al Saud, do you think that Iraq and Saudi Arabia can forge bridges to fight the common enemy? For example, it was stated a media adviser to the owners of Ali al-Moussawi recently that “both countries Tusbandat threats from al Qaeda. It is necessary to cooperate and exchange information.”
Gregory Koss and answers, it will be an excellent basis for the improvement of relations, if it considers that the Saudi Arabia base where local orientations as the biggest threat. But so far they see in the geopolitical threat of Iran and its local potential. It believes in Maliki’s government of being closely aligned with Iran. And Bahrain are the subject of local and regional together for Saudi Arabia, and I think it at the top of the priority list until now Saudi Arabia. They look at Iraq as supporting the Iranian situation mainly on the topics of Bahrain and the GCC in general.
Due Brookiggins representative to say that the Amnesty International report on Iraq last cited details about how the Iraqi security forces detained approximately 1500 Iraqis under suspicion of being Baathists or “terrorists” in recent months. The bulk of the recent campaign of detentions occurred in the western suburbs of Baghdad, so we can guess that most of the suspects from the Baathists / terrorists are Sunni (as in many similar campaigns in other Almalda). Perhaps the only time in which the arrest of hundreds of Shiites by the Iraqi security forces during Operation Charge of the Knights in 2008, which Arban Maliki’s short-term respect from the Saudis. But the latest campaign for Iraqi security forces will look like sectarian for many (and some of those who were on the list of detention by Iraqi security forces who had died several years ago) at the time, which runs many of the Shiites in Iraq continue to anger about discrimination against minority Shiite Saudi Arabia, which is also highlighted in a recent report by Amnesty International about Saudi Arabia and the hunger strike activity by Saudi Shi’ite Mohammed Saleh garnet. The United States has made some attempts Limited to persuade Saudi Arabia and Iraq to improve human rights have, or at least minimize abuse deal, but the big weapons sales go ahead, even in the latest report of the U.S. State Department about Saudi Arabia, it appears that the U.S. government is not in a position of rejection in human rights record there. Is it that we fail to rebuke these two countries on the issue of minority rights, encourage those who can spend in their own sectarian agendas, and increases the loss of confidence in worship and the way to the result of conflict?.
Gregory Koss and answers, he does not think that the U.S. position in this regard has a lot of weight on any of the causal parties. Even if the United States more explicitly for human rights topics with Saudi Arabia and Iraq both, and they want to disrupt other aspects of the relations of the owner, there were improvements in dealing with ethnic minorities, it is not believed that it will check how much of the difference. Both governments have identified threats to internal and regional sectarian ways, it seems, once you identify the biggest threats to any government, they exercise a great deal of pressure on removal of out of that situation. Therefore, each obvious reasons, the United States will tend to make the themes of human rights of minorities, sectarian as part of much of its bilateral relationship with either Baghdad or Riyadh (and perhaps a bit with Baghdad, but in the framework of political stability over the issue of human rights). Even if it does, it does not think that it can push governments away from their policy with regard to this current account. In the end, it is believed that the only thing that can be paid in Saudi Arabia on the sectarian issue will be to improve relations with Iran. And that it will loosen things with regard to Saudi Arabia relations – Iraq. But that does not seem that there are developments on the horizon any time soon.
Brookiggins representative says, that the style about Maliki’s Iraq differs somewhat between the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). Kuwait, for example, has shown some real warmth to the state that were sent by the soldiers to plunder the city of Kuwait, despite the dispute over the ports of the holy and FAO. Similarly, the United Arab Emirates were happy to do business with the new Iraq and won the national oil company, country and confirmed many of the service contracts. But other tensions such as the situation in Bahrain and the heroic story of Tariq al-Hashimi seem a stumbling block. Do you think that the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is completely different to follow a common foreign policy toward Iraq? It seems as if the GCC countries more open to reform and is happy to build bridges with Iraq.
Gregory Koss and answers, that he would like the lack of agreement on the subject of reform. Qatar is not the United Arab Emirates in the past is real political reform. But no one not subject to the acquisition of sectarian politics, such as Bahrain and Saudi Arabia. Kuwait has taken some important steps in this regard, including the presence of the emir to the top. But the core issues in the relations Kuwait – Iraqi (debt, Aaslah, Chapter VII, border, etc.). Policies are linked to the Kuwaiti parliament, and it would be very difficult to get on the themes appear to be “Kmwalih to the Iraqis” through Parliament. The government can take further steps toward Iraq, but the Parliament will stop these moves on the fundamental issues, he believes Kos. And Balentih, any Kuwaiti minister is thinking of moving in that direction he has to think about the reaction of the parliament. This is the only Gulf state where this incredible situation. Kos says he believes that the interlocutor of Brookiggins right about the fact that the GCC countries is quite different on the agreement on a unified comprehensive policy toward Iraq. This was true in the last years of Saddam Hussein’s rule, which is true now. And Qatar and the UAE will exercise trade and business with Iraq in a happy (and Oman, too, but not a lot of money there). Bahrain and Saudi Arabia will follow, in terms of the sectarian issue and relations with Iran will continue to determine the nature of US-Saudi relations – Iraq, and Kuwait will be cautious but not confrontation.
And return axes Brookiggins to to say that the United States and Europe has warned fundamentally that the weapons to Syria is a bad idea at the time supported the gray area anomalous for “aid to non-lethal” in the form of equipment such as communication devices developed by the forces may Syrian opposition used to coordinate the attacks to come. This seems like a policy oddly inconclusive. At this time, the sympathy the United States to Saudi Arabia and Qatar not to send weapons to the fighters appear weak widely, and to a large extent have we managed to persuade Iraq (which has no fact to control the air space) in order to ask politely from Iran to stop sending weapons combat flights to Syria. It is unfortunate, that the Iraqi Transport Minister Hadi al-Amiri is the head of the Badr Organization is alleged that the Lhalat air is the “American lies.” Can we do more Ptshaddam our effectiveness to stop what it calls a “sectarian bigotry” to the regional balance of power in the Middle East conflict?.
Must Kos, he is not sure that the United States could do more about this record, and addresses his interlocutor by saying, as he said in his question, the opposition to the United States to ship arms to militants Syrians are lukewarm deftly, and perhaps a quarter of apathy. He does not think that the feeling of Qataris and Saudis to pay any real Aishd from around the United States, and of course it is not of importance. As long as Iran wants to do, he suspected, that the Iraqi government will be able to collect their political and national unity to say “no.” The only steps that the United States can they took in this debate will be major steps towards ending its standoff with Iran, not on the nuclear issue but also on a series of regional issues. And will change it from the ocean in a regional good Not, and can cut the other to fall in new places, including the Iraqi relations – relations of Iran and Saudi Arabia – Iran. (At least in the beginning, the Saudi Arabia will not be entirely pleased with the United States, even if it were to reach a convergence of U.S. – Iranian). And may be the possibility, but so far, he remains skeptical that it could occur. The breakthrough on the nuclear issue could lead to something different, but we need to see a breakthrough. Even if Iran is willing to compromise on the nuclear issue, it does not appear willing to give up al-Assad, and that remains the basic geopolitical conflict over regional influence so far. M / Orr News