US Analysis: Obama will leave the White House architect crisis in Iraq
US Analysis: Obama will leave the White House architect crisis in Iraq
Wednesday 18-05-2016 | 10:09:47
Twilight News / is expected to end the US President, Barack Obama, the presidential term crisis in Iraq made by his own hands.
Obama was in April, he said, if the conditions for the liberation of Mosul of al «Daash», will be ready by the end of the year. But Sunni tribal leaders in Iraq and the Kurds, warn quietly that the «liberation of Mosul» likely not lead to a military victory, but to a humanitarian and political disaster.
First: The Mosul , the second largest city in Iraq, and has between one million to two million of the population, as that «Daash», who did not hesitate to kill the Arabs and the destruction of cities, has a lot of time to prepare, and the arrest of hostages and booby – trapping buildings.
to look at the «victory» latter, made by the Iraqi government, and finally, in Ramadi, where far fewer people live , which is in Mosul, he had to organize «Daash» destroy the city en masse, before exiting in January.
It is known that «Daash» more entrenched and adherent Mosul, occupied since June 2014 and did not fighters frequented the terrorist organization in the use of chemical weapons against the Kurdish Peshmerga forces.
An attack on the city begins, it is possible to spread terror among the population, who live a difficult situation in the first place, and who will become trapped inside Mosul along with the occupiers of «Daash». And it includes the Baghdad government plans to liberalize the city throttle «Daash», by imposing a blockade on the connector, in preparation for destruction of the attack. If gray were the proverb, the editing process will turn Mosul into a ghost town.
Secondly , Mosul ‘s population is still the year is confident the Baghdad government, and many of them are afraid the Iraqi Shiite militias, supported by Iran, and to encourage former Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al – Maliki, which pose a danger He, more than «Daash» himself. Has been circulating a lot of horrifying images of Shiite militias, which descend torment and murder people in town on smartphones screens of the population a year, in addition to images «Daash», which is cut off heads, and torturing detainees has.
And thirdly , even if they managed to Iraqi forces, backed by the United States, expulsion «Daash» of Mosul, what happens next? Who will occupy and manage the city? After the US occupation of Baghdad in April 2003, US officials granting Iraqis a year of minimal responsibilities for planning for the future of Iraq ‘s part, in the post – Saddam Hussein stage. And what makes the population of Mosul Sunnis believe that the central government sunken into chaos in Baghdad, put their concerns at the top of their priorities?
Fourth: Iran seems determined to continuity of the conflict in Iraq as long as possible. And controls Gen. Qassem Soleimani , head of «Qods» Iran, which fought against Iraq during the Iran – Iraq war in the eighties of the last century, many of the militias, in a manner than can be done by political leaders in Baghdad. And few Sunnis in Mosul believe that Baghdad could protect them.
Fifth: chaos in Mosul could spark more chaos in Baghdad. It seems that the current Prime Minister Haider al – Abadi is trying to put an end to corruption, and management of a more inclusive government. But the attempt to restore Mosul before the year to benefit from the efforts to clean up the system and the government, are considered fraught with danger, but as long as expressed US concern about the stability of the government Abadi.
And there is no sounds strong year expressed support for the liberation of the city by Iraqi forces. They are well aware that the Americans will not be there to protect them. Many of them believe that the growing influence of Iran, and the militias that move in its orbit, poses the most danger of living under the rule of «Daash», especially in light of the US nuclear deal with Iran.
Translation: Hasan Abdo Hasan for «New York Post»
ara.shafaaq.com
