Political analyst: Iran does not want a strong Iraq, but refuses to split
Political analyst: Iran does not want a strong Iraq, but refuses to split
22-12-2014 12:30 PM
News / weighs Ahmed
Influenced by political decision-Iraqi, regional and international powers, able to achieve a permanent presence after 2003, was no longer possible to ignore this fact, it is no longer a secret overseas the ability to identify the country paths and orientations, and interference in the minute details of the existing system, including institutional formations , has created a state of constant fear among the political system itself to any position taken by without looking left and right up to satisfy the state O or R, or Ptaar diplomat ether Hfaztha.
Is not understood metaphysically to point to Iran’s power in Iraq, and the presence of the firm in the political scene, and even the military, and whether the United States acting as a counterweight active being the force that changed the established political structure of the current system, Iran represents the ability to impose its policy on the ground, even if it conflicted with Washington, which is confirmed by the facts, as recognized by the Tehran openly.
Perhaps the crises faced by Iraq, not far from the Iranian decision, and Anni necessarily crisis industry, but the way processed, and look implications of any decision, linked to the national interest of the Eastern neighbor, though conflicted with the Iraqi Constitution, and here arises the question: How would you like Iran, Iraq?.
See writer and political analyst, Mohammad Abbas Naji, in a statement to the news: ‘that Iraq strong is not a comfortable option for Tehran, as might threaten its interests in Iraq, and the region in general, it will not become a strong Iraq, except in the case included all Iraqi political forces within the power equation , including the powers that refuse to Iranian influence in Iraq, as the Iraqi forces could threaten Iranian national security ‘.
But that does not mean, according to Nagy, acceptance options regions or the division of Iraq into three regions, although this division may achieve the desired goal of keeping the state of weakness, but it is believed that the Iranian vision focused on keeping Iraq united and poor together.
And refers in this regard to the non-Hamas Iran calls launched by some Iraqi parties to divide Iraq into three regions: Kurdish, which was originally based, and Sunni and Shia, as this could jeopardize their interests in the long term, especially in terms of internal defections expected for this option, where Maybe enhances the ambitions of Ahwaz Arabs, in re Amarthm, or at least get autonomy, as well as the Kurds of Iran who aspire to establish their own state, or at a minimum to establish their own territory, or get too self-rule, which may create a state of stability within Iran at the present time.
And rooting political scientist, his vision through his interpretation of the state of tension that characterized the relations between Iran and the president of the Kurdistan region, Massoud Barzani, due to repeated recent hints about the possibility of the establishment of a Kurdish state in the north, has drawn Tehran, on July 8, 2014, a warning to the Kurdish leadership of the consequences Direction to the separation, threatened that it will close all border crossings between the two countries, and to support any group opposed to this trend, which promised ‘Israeli plot’ targeting prejudice regional power balance, which sought to established with the Lebanese Hezbollah.
He says political analyst in this regard: that Iran has a special interest in the stability of the regional hub which was established to drive, featuring both from Syria, Iraq, and Lebanon’s Hezbollah, which is the axis that in March an important role, not only in preventing the fall of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s regime, but also to enable it to regain control of a new, through the achievement of quality victories on the armed opposition forces, pointing out that the goal here is not only to prevent the fall of the Assad regime’s key ally of Iran, but keep communication between Syria and Lebanon lines.
He adds that Baghdad, in the era of former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, has adopted a pro-policy of the Iranian role in the Syrian crisis, and perhaps this intervention and Majarap was the reason for the Iraq crisis, the current, which turned into what might be called the ‘channel of communication’ between Iran and the Syrian regime to transport aid Iran to the last, is sparked international resentment was evident in repeated by the United States prompted the Iraqi government to conduct inspections on Iranian aircraft destined to Syria on suspicion of Iranian weapons transferred to the Assad regime.
In the face of this picture, it seems that the new move to the Iraqi leaders to reform their relationship with the Arab states, which marred the previous policies, a step in the right direction for the emancipation of Iranian hegemony or minimize its consequences, for the benefit of the political independence of the Iraqi decision, but the tell-tale signs that this move has come under the guidance External !!.
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