Features of Iran’s reception of Trump’s victory
Features of Iran’s reception of Trump’s victory
11-7-2024
All political administrations, media platforms, radio and television stations, and satellite channels followed the final stages of the US presidential elections, which ended with the announcement of Donald Trump’s victory for four years in the White House to be the 47th President of the United States of America, in another return for him with political and economic programs and radical solutions to crises surrounding the world, whose parties see a glimmer of hope in finding paths to solve them, including those related to the Russian-Ukrainian war, the Arab-Israeli conflict, and Iranian expansion and influence in the Middle East and the Arab world.
What matters to us is how the president-elect will view the problems of the region and what are the ABCs of the paths he will take in determining the priorities to address them and the reasons that led to their expansion and their impact on the state of international and regional security and stability.
We believe that the Arab region is heading towards major events and field facts that depend primarily on the nature of the variables that will occur in how President Trump manages it in the midst of ongoing conflicts and escalating positions related to the Israeli vision and its decisions calling for confronting the Iranian presence and political influence by continuously confronting its arms and partners in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen, which is consistent with what President Trump aspires to in undermining the Iranian state and limiting its military activities, tools and armed factions.
Iran is looking for strategic goals to solve its political and economic problems and is working to draw the features of its future relationship with the United States of America, while the Israeli goal and the American goal are still united in preventing Iran from possessing nuclear weapons, and this is what President Donald Trump announced in his election program and his direct meetings with supporters and members of the Republican Party, which does not mind finding any means to stop the steps of the Iranian political project and work towards weakening it, its tools and the means it relies on, especially with regard to how to manage the networks of agents linked to the leaders of the Quds Force and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard.
In light of these political principles and common goals, will the Iranian regime continue the escalation process or will it settle for calm and not expand the circle of military confrontation by continuing the rounds of mutual bombing with Israel and move towards maintaining lines of communication and contact with the US administration?
We can see a field position that the Iranians will maintain by pushing their arms in Iraq from the Hezbollah Brigades, the Al-Nujaba Movement, the Hamza Sayyid al-Shuhada and the rest of the armed factions associated with them to expand their activities in the Iraqi arena and continue their use of drones towards the Israeli depth, and directing the Afghan and Pakistani militias present in the Syrian field, which are supervised by officers from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, to escalate their offensive operations towards the Golan Heights and its suburbs and strike key sites on its outskirts, at a stage in which the pillars of the Syrian regime have moved away from actual participation and political support for the confrontations taking place in the Palestinian territories between Hamas fighters and Israeli forces. The impact and effects of the Iranian directive will be clear in the Iraqi political arena and will cause great embarrassment to the government in Baghdad as it welcomes President Trump’s victory in a new presidential term.
If the Iranian approach, which adheres to the security and military doctrine of its project to expand and influence the region and exploit the political opportunities imposed by the facts on the ground and direct its arms to implement its goals and objectives, continues, the armed factions and militias linked to the Revolutionary Guards present in Iraq will be among the upcoming strategic targets of the Israeli and American forces.
Iran knows the extent of the losses it suffered as a result of the Israeli strike on the military sites affiliated with the air defense and ballistic missile system and the bases responsible for protecting them and its loss of large tanks of solid fuel used in ballistic missiles, and realizes that the geographical area of the Iranian field has become open and available for any military action, which made the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei direct the preparation and arrangement of the strike coming to the Israeli depth through the use of long-range (Khaybar, Fateh and Imad) missiles, and with the directions of the Deputy Commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard to expand the effectiveness of the strike coming from all arenas, it is possible to use medium-range missile launch platforms through Iraqi airspace, and activate part of the Syrian airspace by launching cruise missiles from them.
Will we be facing an Iranian trend that is the first to confront Trump’s election, or are there diplomatic activities and movements towards Iran to dissuade it from any military move or adventure that would ignite events in the region again, in exchange for obtaining gains and benefits that serve Iranian policy in the Middle East region and maintain the continuity and continuity of its influence and the use of its tools for its goals and the sources of its ambitions in any upcoming variables and negotiations in which it is a vital party.
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