10-3-2012: Iraqi Dinar Guru guesses!!!
10-3-2012 Newshound/Intel Guru BGG to use the term delay implies we had a solid date to begin with – we never have. This is event driven – not date driven (for me) – there is no guarantee of any delay (for sure). To me – that’s good news.
10-3-2012 Newshound Guru Adam Montana October 2 two things happened – my Iraqi sources tell me that it was leaked that the budgetary committee was going to go NUTS if there was no plan to officially implement an immediate strategy to raise the value of the dinar when the HCL was resolved, and it threw a wrench in everything. October 3 that announcement was officially made – they are demanding an inclusion for “financial development”. I, for one, was literally on the edge of my seat most of yesterday waiting for some more news to break. Unfortunately we don’t have it yet, but nonetheless – HOW EXCITING! My opinion is that the thing to watch is the HCL. As soon as they resolve that, we are THERE. [post 2 of 2]
10-3-2012 Newshound Guru Adam Montana if you’ve been paying attention to the news, you’ve got to be as excited as I am…as recently as October 1 we have a TON of articles talking about a “mechanism” to resolve the HCL. For those that are unfamiliar with how arabic gets translated, a “mechanism” is generally a contract…that means that earlier this week they ALMOST signed this thing into law. [post 1 of 2….stay tuned]
10-3-2012 Newshound Guru Med SALEH DOES ANNOY ME A LOT BUT I MAY HAVE UNDERESTIMATED HIM. I THINK WHAT HE IS DOING IS NEEDED TO BLINDSIDE ALL, TO MAKE PEOPLE FEEL THEY ARE GONNA DO IT AGAIN AND HOPE TO GET PEOPLE TO GIVE UP. HE HAS MADE WAY TOO MANY PROPER STATEMENTS ABOUT THE REASON FOR THE DELETION AND WHY IT IS HAPPENING AND NOW CBI IS NOT INTIMIDATED. NOR ARE THEY UNDER ANY OBLIGATION TO THE GOI TO SAY CAN WE. PARLIAMENT DECIDED THAT ALREADY AND THE PARLIAMENTARY FINANCE HAS ALSO ALREADY GIVEN THE OK TO GO FORWARD. IF ALL IS STILL FACT AND WE DONT PUT ANY TRUTH IN WHAT SALEH SAID AND WE ARE WITHIN 2 -3 MONTHS OF AN RV. THE 2013 BUDGET IS STILL HUSH HUSH.
10-3-2012 Intel Guru Blaino WE ARE FINE! JUST WAITING FOR THIS TO ‘CLEAR’…SO WE CAN MOVE ON DOWN THE LINE A LIL FARTHER! THERE COULD BE AN ADJUSTMENT TO THE ‘TIME’ OR THE HOUR…AS THE FOG LIFTS, WE WILL SEE. WE CAN CLASSIFY THIS AS A “POLITICAL ISSUE” WHICH IS A TEMPORARY ‘STOPPER’ DUE TO THE SCHEDULING TO GET THE RELAVENT PARTIES TOGETHER TO DISCUSS, NEGOTIATE AND AGREE… WHICH THEY WILL DO! BUT THEY WILL NOT START TILL THURSDAY AM AND IT SHOULD BE A 1 DAY DEAL…METHINKS. [post 2 of 2]
10-3-2012 Intel Guru Blaino THERE IS A FRESH “DISTURBANCE IN THE FORCE” THAT PRECLUDES ANY SIGNIFICANT MOVEMENT TILL IT CLEARS. SO, TO EXPRESS THAT REALITY…I’M TAKING PLANET AND DINARIAN DOWN TO ALERT LEVEL 4 AND DECLARING A PASS TILL THURSDAY EVENING, 8PM BAGHDAD TIME. THIS IS NOT ANY REASON TO BE DE-MOTIVATED OR UPSET, IT IS A BETTER REFLECTION OF WHERE WE ARE “AT THIS MOMENT”. NOW, WHAT A “PASS” MEANS IS THAT DURING THE PASS, THE CHANCES FOR AN RV OR OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN VALUE ARE REDUCED, NOT PERMANENT, JUST REDUCED TILL THURSDAY EVENING! IF THIS CHANGES IN A SIGNIFICANT WAY, I’LL LET YOU KNOW. [post 1 of 2….stay tuned]
10-3-2012 Intel Guru TerryK I NOW HAVE A GAG ORDER ON ME, FYI. I CAN’T TALK ABOUT DINAR FOR A WEEK, CAN’T. THIS IS NO GAME, JUST LETTING U KNOW. I CAN’T TELL YOU, WHO I CAN’T TELL YOU WHY. ALL I CAN SAY IS I CAN’T TALK DINAR FOR 1 WEEK. I CAN’T SAY ANYTHING, THAT IS NOT RUMOR. I CAN’T AND WILL NOT GIVE ANY INFORMATION FROM MY SOURCCES, PERIOD. I CAN TALK IRAQ ARTICLES BUT NOTHING FROM SOURCES. I TOO THINK THIS IS BULL **** BUT IT IS WHAT IT IS…BITING TONGUE. [Vnd? What is your opinion on that rate for the VND?] SURE, HEARING .91. I JUST CAN’T TALK DINAR. I KNOW THEY HAVE THE FUNDS BUT WHO KNOWS WHAT IT WILL COME OUT AT .
10-2-2012 Intel Guru Blaino I was told several days ago that Moon was going to make a public announcement that Maliki better get this worked out with Kuwait… also, he told Kuwait the same thing… wondering if these kind of comments are real or window dressing. I am thinking there is a time when it is scheduled to be heard at the UN, and all this needs to be done by that day!!! it is not gonna be post-poned because Maliki has a headache.
10-2-2012 Intel Guru Bluwolf THERE IS NO INFORMATION TO SHARE WHAT SO EVER FOR ALL CONTACTS ARE SILENT AND THAT IS EXCELENT NEWS. WE ARE IN A VERY GOOD SITUATION. IF CHAPT 7 IS OFFICIALLY OVER IT SHOULD SHOW IN THE RESOLUTIONS. ONE THING I WILL SAY KUWAIT WAS PUSHING THE ENVOLOPE. IMO I THINK IS ALL DONE IN THE UN. SO NOW WE WAIT FOR THE OUTCOME.
10-2-2012 Intel/Newshound Guru Poppy3 I was just informed i can rest assure there will be a RV before dec1 and their budget will be opened and activated… he said the absolute timing will depend on three things. IF Maliki co-operates or if he has to be removed…If he co-operates and all the details are completed prior to the national meeting THINGS WILL BE FASTER or If he is removed and how long it will take to remove and replace with a interum and how long it will take the new pm to fill the final positions of the GOI…JUST PASSING ON WHAT CAME FROM INSIDE BAGDAD ABOUT ONE HOUR AGO. He stated the longest senario would be dec 1 and that he still expects completion and announcement of the national meeting prior to the 15th of this month. hope this lift some spirits…
10-2-2012 Newshound/Intel Guru BGG We are looking for the National Conference sometime in mid-month. The National Conference will probably be a P.R. meeting unless Maliki pulls his monkey business, then that’s not how things will play out. Talabani has held a cattle call of meetings in the last few days. Allawi’s meeting was to be yesterday or today but we don’t know the status of that yet. Allawi has been suspeciously quiet. He wants the Eril agreement implemented & what he has agreed upon, that is the bottom line.
10-2-2012 Newshound Guru SWFloridaGuy the SLC [State of Law Coalition] intends an attempt at jerking Allawi around on the Erbil agreement during the “National Meeting” on the basis of constitutionality. Fact. Either some “watered down” version of the Erbil deal gets agreed to or I expect the opposition to reform and remove Maliki soon. They are already calling for it now.